Delaware: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 60.7% for Clinton, and 39.3% for Trump in Delaware. In comparison, on October 25 Trump was predicted to win 38.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, because they may incorporate large biases. Rather than trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 60.3% of the two-party vote in Delaware. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Delaware.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.