Delaware: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead
The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 60.7% for Clinton, and 39.3% for Trump in Delaware. In comparison, on October 25 Trump was predicted to win 38.7% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, because they may incorporate large biases. Rather than trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 60.3% of the two-party vote in Delaware. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Delaware.