The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 54.5% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 45.5%.
Putting the results in context
Single models may include substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models sees Clinton at 50.5% of the two-party vote. Relative to numbers in the Crosstab model Clinton's econometric model average is 4 percentage points lower.
The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 54.1% of the two-party vote. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.