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Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 54.5% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 45.5%.

Putting the results in context

Single models may include substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models sees Clinton at 50.5% of the two-party vote. Relative to numbers in the Crosstab model Clinton's econometric model average is 4 percentage points lower.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 54.1% of the two-party vote. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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