Crosstab model in Wisconsin: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 53.9% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, while Trump will end up with 46.2%. In comparison, on October 25 Trump was predicted to gain 45.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, as they may incorporate substantial errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wisconsin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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