The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 35.9% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, whereas Trump will end up with 64.1%. In comparison, on October 25 Trump was predicted to achieve 63.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they often incorporate large biases. Rather than relying on results from single models, one should consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 62.3% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.