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Crosstab model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 92.7% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., while Trump will win 7.3%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the recommended strategy look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 88.0% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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