The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 93.0% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., whereas Trump will end up with 7.0%. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to collect only 92.7% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models often include substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 89.4% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.