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Crosstab model in Virginia: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 54.2% of the two-party vote share in Virginia, while Trump will end up with 45.8%. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to gain 54.9% of the vote.

Historically, Virginia has been a purple state, in which no single party has had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. This is the reason why forecasts here are of particular importance.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in Virginia. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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