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Crosstab model in Utah: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 36.9% for Clinton, and 63.1% for Trump in Utah. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to end up with 37.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, don't rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 59.2% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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