South Carolina: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 46.7% for Clinton, and 53.3% for Trump in South Carolina. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to win 47.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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