Crosstab model in Oklahoma: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 34.8% for Clinton, and 65.2% for Trump in Oklahoma.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, we recommend to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 64.1% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Oklahoma.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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