Crosstab model in Oklahoma: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 34.7% for Clinton, and 65.3% for Trump in Oklahoma. In comparison, on October 25 Trump was predicted to achieve 65.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they often include substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 64.1% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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