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North Dakota: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 39.6% of the two-party vote share in North Dakota, whereas Trump will win 60.4%. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to win 40.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 59.3% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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