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Crosstab model in North Carolina: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 50.8% for Clinton, and 49.2% for Trump in North Carolina. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to end up with 51.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often contain large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 50.6% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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