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New York: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 62.9% of the two-party vote share in New York, whereas Trump will win 37.1%. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to achieve 63.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they sometimes contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 63.2% of the two-party vote in New York. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New York.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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