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Crosstab model in New Jersey: Clinton is in the lead


The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 57.8% for Clinton, and 42.2% for Trump in New Jersey. In comparison, on October 25 Trump was predicted to win 41.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, because they can include substantial biases. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 59.1% of the two-party vote in New Jersey. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 1.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Jersey.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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