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Crosstab model in Nevada: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 52.1% of the two-party vote share in Nevada, whereas Trump will win 47.9%.

Nevada is traditionally a purple state, where Republicans and Democrats have often gained similar levels of support among voters. Therefore, the election outcome in that state is viewed as critical in determining who will win the majority of electoral votes.

Putting the results in context

Single models may include large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 52.7% of the two-party vote in Nevada. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Nevada.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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