The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 52.1% of the two-party vote share in Nevada, whereas Trump will win 47.9%.
Nevada is traditionally a purple state, where Republicans and Democrats have often gained similar levels of support among voters. Therefore, the election outcome in that state is viewed as critical in determining who will win the majority of electoral votes.
Putting the results in context
Single models may include large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 52.7% of the two-party vote in Nevada. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Nevada.