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Crosstab model in Montana: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 42.7% of the two-party vote share in Montana, while Trump will win 57.3%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 56.6% of the two-party vote in Montana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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