The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 54.8% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, whereas Trump will end up with 45.2%.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, we recommend to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 54.3% of the two-party vote in Michigan. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.