Crosstab model in Louisiana: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 41.5% of the two-party vote share in Louisiana, while Trump will win 58.5%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 58.6% of the two-party vote in Louisiana. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Louisiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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