Crosstab model in Kentucky: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 34.3% for Clinton, and 65.8% for Trump in Kentucky. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to collect 37.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often contain substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 61.7% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 4.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kentucky.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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