Kansas: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 42.3% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, whereas Trump will end up with 57.7%. In comparison, on October 25 Trump was predicted to achieve 57.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, since they often include substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 56.8% of the two-party vote in Kansas. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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