The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 42.3% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, whereas Trump will end up with 57.7%. In comparison, on October 25 Trump was predicted to achieve 57.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, since they often include substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 56.8% of the two-party vote in Kansas. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kansas.