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Crosstab model in Idaho: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 37.3% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, while Trump will end up with 62.7%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, we recommend to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 63.6% of the two-party vote in Idaho. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Idaho.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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