Idaho: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 36.4% for Clinton, and 63.7% for Trump in Idaho. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to achieve 37.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they often include large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 64.6% of the two-party vote in Idaho. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Idaho.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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