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Florida: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 51.1% of the two-party vote share in Florida, while Trump will end up with 48.9%. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to gain 51.8% of the vote.

Historically, Florida has been a purple state, in which neither the GOP nor the Democrats have had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. Therefore, predictions here are of particular importance.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, since they often include substantial biases. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 51.4% of the two-party vote in Florida. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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