Colorado: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead
The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 53.4% for Clinton, and 46.6% for Trump in Colorado.
Historically, Colorado has been a purple state, in which neither the GOP nor the Democrats have had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. This is why forecasts in this state are of particular value.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be regarded with caution, as they may include substantial biases. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 55.0% of the two-party vote in Colorado. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 1.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Colorado.