Crosstab model in California: Clinton is in the lead
The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 62.6% of the two-party vote share in California, whereas Trump will win 37.5%. In comparison, on October 25 Trump was predicted to garner 36.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 62.3% of the two-party vote in California. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in California.