Arkansas: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 39.1% of the two-party vote share in Arkansas, whereas Trump will end up with 60.9%. In comparison, on October 25 Trump was predicted to gain 56.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they can incorporate substantial errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 57.9% of the two-party vote in Arkansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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