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Crosstab model in Connecticut: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 57.9% for Clinton, and 42.1% for Trump in Connecticut. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 57.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 59.9% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Connecticut.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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