Colorado: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 52.8% for Clinton, and 47.2% for Trump in Colorado. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to achieve 53.4% of the vote.

Historically, Colorado has been a purple state, in which neither the Republican Party nor the Democratic Party has had overwhelming support to secure that state's electoral college votes. Hence, predictions here are of particular importance.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 54.9% of the two-party vote in Colorado. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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