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California: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 65.5% of the two-party vote share in California, while Trump will end up with 34.5%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 61.3% of the two-party vote in California. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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