Crosstab model in California: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 63.4% for Clinton, and 36.6% for Trump in California.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often contain large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 62.5% of the two-party vote in California. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in California.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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