The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 43.1% of the two-party vote share in Arkansas, whereas Trump will win 56.9%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 57.2% of the two-party vote in Arkansas. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Arkansas.