Arizona: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 49.0% of the two-party vote share in Arizona, whereas Trump will win 51.0%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often contain substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 51.3% of the two-party vote in Arizona. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.