The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 49.0% of the two-party vote share in Arizona, whereas Trump will win 51.0%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often contain substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 51.3% of the two-party vote in Arizona. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.