The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 42.4% for Clinton, and 57.6% for Trump in Alaska. In comparison, on October 25 Trump was predicted to win 53.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models may incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 56.8% of the two-party vote in Alaska. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Alaska.