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Alaska: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 42.4% for Clinton, and 57.6% for Trump in Alaska. In comparison, on October 25 Trump was predicted to win 53.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 56.8% of the two-party vote in Alaska. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Alaska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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