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Vanderbilt University*Vanderbilt* poll in Tennessee: Trump with 11 points lead

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Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt published the results of a new poll. In this poll, participants from Tennessee were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.

Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt poll results
33

Clinton

44

Trump

Of those who replied, 33.0% said that they intend to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 44.0% declared that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from September 19 to October 2 among 1000 registered voters. There is a sampling error of +/-3.4 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of an individual poll. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, we convert them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure yields figures of 42.9% for Clinton and 57.1% for Trump.

The poll in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 59.0% of the two-party vote in Tennessee. Hence, Polly's forecast is 1.9 points above his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's sampling error reveals that this difference is insignificant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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