Results of a new poll carried out by FOX 5/Opinion SavvyFOX 5 Atlanta were circulated. The poll asked participants from Georgia for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.
FOX 5/Opinion SavvyFOX 5 Atlanta poll results
The results show that 46.0% of respondents are going to give their vote to former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 50.0% plan to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from October 20 to October 20 with 570 likely voters. The sampling error is +/-4.1 points, which means that the levels of voter support for the candidates of both parties do not differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Single polls should be interpreted with caution, because they can contain substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
To make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, one can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. The resulting figures are 47.9% for Clinton and 52.1% for Trump.
Comparison to other polls
An average of recent polls in Georgia has Trump at 52.3% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.2 percentage points higher than his respective numbers in the FOX 5/Opinion SavvyFOX 5 Atlanta poll. This deviation is within the poll's sampling error, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.
The poll in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 52.4% of the two-party vote in Georgia. That is, the PollyVote is 0.3 points above his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's sampling error shows that this difference is negligible.