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Wyoming: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead


The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 32.4% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, while Trump will end up with 67.6%. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to win 67.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may include large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 69.9% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 2.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Wyoming.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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