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Wisconsin: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 55.3% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, while Trump will end up with 44.7%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 55.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they may include large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 54.0% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wisconsin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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