The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 55.3% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, while Trump will end up with 44.7%. In comparison, on October 12, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 55.1% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they may include large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 54.0% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wisconsin.