DeSart & Holbrook model in Wisconsin: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 54.1% for Clinton, and 45.9% for Trump in Wisconsin.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may include large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.