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Wisconsin: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 54.2% for Clinton, and 45.9% for Trump in Wisconsin. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to win only 53.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they often contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.9% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wisconsin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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