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West Virginia: New PPP (D) poll shows Clinton trailing by 27 points

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Results of a new poll conducted by PPP (D) were published. The poll asked participants from West Virginia for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

PPP (D) poll results
30

Clinton

57

Trump

According to the results, 30.0% of interviewees plan to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 57.0% intend to vote for businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from April 29 to May 1 among 1201 likely voters. If one accounts for the poll's sampling error of +/-2.8 percentage points, the gap in voter support is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't have too much confidence in the results of a single poll. At the very least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, one can translate them into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields figures of 34.5% for Clinton and 65.5% for Trump.

The poll in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 61.5% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. This means that Polly's combined forecast is 4.0 points below his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's error margin suggests that this difference is significant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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