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DeSart & Holbrook model in West Virginia: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 40.3% for Clinton, and 59.7% for Trump in West Virginia. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 39.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may incorporate large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 61.7% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 2.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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