The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 91.8% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., while Trump will win 8.2%.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 88.3% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.