The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 54.1% for Clinton, and 45.9% for Trump in Virginia. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to collect 55.0% of the vote.
In Virginia, the election outcome is usually decided by a narrow margin. Therefore, the state is commonly referred to as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, because they may include large biases. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts. The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 54.1% of the two-party vote in Virginia.