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Vermont: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead


The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 54.3% for Clinton, and 45.7% for Trump in Vermont. In comparison, on October 12 Trump was still predicted to obtain 45.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they may contain substantial biases. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 67.1% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 12.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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