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Utah: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

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The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Utah.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 59.2% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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