Utah: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 36.8% for Clinton, and 63.2% for Trump in Utah. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to win 37.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 59.5% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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