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Trump leads in Tennessee by 11 points in latest Vanderbilt University*Vanderbilt* poll

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Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from Tennessee were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt poll results
33

Clinton

44

Trump

Of those who answered the question, 33.0% said that they plan to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 44.0% said that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted from September 19 to October 2, among a random sample of 1000 registered voters. The margin of error is +/-3.4 percentage points, which means that the levels of voter support for the Democratic and the Republican candidate differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

Single polls often include large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single polls, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

For the following analysis, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. The corresponding figures are 42.9% for Clinton and 57.1% for Trump.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 58.8% of the two-party vote in Tennessee. Hence, Polly's forecast is 1.7 points above his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore within the poll's sampling error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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