The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 46.8% of the two-party vote share in Texas, whereas Trump will end up with 53.2%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 54.1% of the two-party vote in Texas. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 0.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Texas.