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Texas: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

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The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 46.8% of the two-party vote share in Texas, whereas Trump will end up with 53.2%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 54.1% of the two-party vote in Texas. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 0.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Texas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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