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Texas: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 44.7% of the two-party vote share in Texas, while Trump will win 55.3%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to win 45.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 54.2% of the two-party vote in Texas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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